Integrated Risk Analysis of Global Climate Change

A. Shlyakhter, L.J. Valverde, Jr., R. Wilson

Chemosphere 30(8): 1585-1618 (1995)


This paper discusses several factors that should be considered in integrated risk analyses of global climate change. We begin by describing how the problem of global climate change can be subdivided into largely independent parts that can be linked together in an analytically tractable fashion. Uncertainty plays a central role in integrated risk analyses of global climate change. Accordingly, we consider various aspects of uncertainty as they relate to the climate change problem. We also consider the impacts of these uncertainties on various risk management issues, such as sequential decision strategies, value of information, and problems of interregional and intergenerational equity.

Keywords: risk analysis, climate change, global warming, extreme events, uncertainty analysis, projections

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